Bayesian

Bayesian Data Analysis

Notes

Applied Bayesian inference with computing methods. The standard Bayesian statistics reference.

Bayesian Reasoning and Machine Learning

Information Theory, Inference, and Learning Algorithms

Machine Learning: A Probabilistic Perspective

Pattern Recognition and Machine Learning

Probability Theory: The Logic of Science

Rationality: From AI to Zombies

Notes

Collected essays on Bayesian rationality and decision theory.

CTW Experimental Results: Theory Meets Practice

Validating Context Tree Weighting through experiments—including a bug that changed everything

The Bayesian Prediction Framework

Model averaging over hypotheses—the principled approach to handling uncertainty in prediction